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The 100-Year Lineage of Trend Trading ③ — From Darvas Boxes to Minervini's VCP, the Evolution of Entry Technique

📌 Quick summaryThe prototype for breakout buying is the Darvas Box (1950s): buy when price breaks above the box top on volume, use the box bottom as your stop. That was the whole rule.O'Neil's cup with handle added shape (a 7-to-65-week base, a 12–33% correction) and a precise entry price (within 5% of the pivot point) plus a volume condition (50%+ above average).Minervini's VCP quantifies the ..

The 100-Year Lineage of Trend Trading ② — Reading Wyckoff's Schematic and Weinstein's Stages on the Same Chart

📌 Quick summaryWyckoff's accumulation and distribution schematics each unfold across five phases, A through E. Accumulation's key signal is the Spring in Phase C; distribution's key signal is the UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution), also in Phase C.If Wyckoff is a microscope (which stage of the range are we in right now?), Weinstein's 30-week moving average + Stages 1–4 is a telescope (is the bi..

The 100-Year Lineage of Trend Trading ① — From Dow to Minervini, Seven Masters Watching the Same Market

📌 Quick summaryDow Theory → Wyckoff → Livermore/Darvas → O'Neil → Weinstein → Minervini aren't separate theories — they're one continuous lineage. All of them start from the same observation: markets cycle through accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown.Only the vocabulary differs. Wyckoff's accumulation phase = Weinstein's Stage 1 = O'Neil's base = Minervini's VCP. Wyckoff's Spring = ..

A Diamond Top Just Appeared on QQQ — Fact-Checking Social Media Against Bulkowski's Statistics

📌 Quick summaryThe Diamond Top is a rare pattern — across roughly 700 stocks over more than a decade, Thomas Bulkowski could only find 375 examples. It can break out either up or down, but downward breakouts (259 cases, 69%) are more than twice as common as upward ones (116 cases, 31%).On July 17, Barchart flagged a Diamond Top forming on QQQ; on July 19, The Rogue Chartist (@DanielMCharter) ca..

📌 Quick summaryA liquidity sweep is a fast price poke through a level where stop orders are stacked (a liquidity zone) — just below a prior low, just above a prior high, or at a round number.This isn't a conspiracy theory. A New York Fed research paper found that stop orders cluster predictably near round numbers, and triggering them can set off real price cascades.Two practical takeaways: keep..